Tolleson Arizona Real Estate Market Report — September 2026
Buyers researching Tolleson Arizona Real Estate on the national portals are looking at recycled estimates and stale photos. The numbers that actually move a purchase decision… a real closed-sale median, the true days-on-market average, whether a listing has already taken a price cut… come from verified closed-sale records, not an algorithm guessing at your specific block. That distinction matters more in Tolleson than almost anywhere in the West Valley, because the market has shifted meaningfully since spring and a stale number will cost a buyer or seller real money.
Tolleson realty operates inside one zip code
All Tolleson realty activity funnels through this single zip code, which also reaches into edges of Phoenix and Avondale outside the true city boundary this report tracks.
About the Tolleson real estate market
This report on the Tolleson real estate market runs on the most recent complete month of closed-sale data, verified across multiple sources rather than pulled from a single automated feed.
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate… Homes Market Data
The market closed August 2026 (the most recent complete month of closed data) at a $415,000 single-family median, down from $420,000 in July. The deceleration is real, not a rounding blip: price per square foot is down, days on market has stretched past 60, and months of supply has climbed to a level that hands buyers real leverage.
Median Sale Price $415,000 ▼ 3.5% YoY | Average Sale Price $430,000 ▼ 2.3% YoY | Price / Sq Ft $209 ▼ 5.0% YoY | Homes Sold (Mo) 23 → vs. 24 last year |
Active Listings 174 → Stable vs. July | Days on Market 63 days ▲ Up from 26 a year ago | Sale-to-List 97.0% → Softening slowly | Months of Supply 7.4 months ▲ Buyer-favorable |
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate 12-Month Price Trend… Homes
Median sale price, single-family homes, rolling 12 months ending August 2026. The trend shows a steady spring peak followed by consistent monthly softening through summer.
Tolleson single-family median sale price, rolling 12 months ending August 2026. Peaked near $434,000 in February 2026, down to $415,000 by August, a 5 percent pullback from peak. Year-over-year change: down 3.5 percent.
Tolleson new construction data
Tolleson new construction pricing and incentives
Buyers scanning Tolleson homes for sale for new construction have two active builder programs inside city limits: Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch. Lennar, Meritage, Ashton Woods, and Centex are all building phases in Verde Trails, and Richmond American has joined this month with spec inventory. New-build pricing spans the mid $300,000s to the high $500,000s. August incentives ran $20,000 to $33,775 in stacked rate buydowns and price cuts, with Meritage cutting $5,000 per home across its Jones Avenue and Atlantis Way inventory and Richmond American cutting one Fraktur Road spec by $33,775.
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate 12-Month Price Trend… New Construction
Median sale price, new-build closings across Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch, rolling 12 months ending August 2026. New construction runs above the resale trend by roughly $30,000 to $40,000 because Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch skew larger and newer than the resale stock.
New-build median sale price across Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch, rolling 12 months ending August 2026. Down from a $466,000 winter peak to $449,000 in August as builders lean on price cuts and rate buydowns to keep pace with a cooling resale market.
Tolleson condos and townhomes
Tolleson has no meaningful for-sale condo or townhome inventory. The city’s attached housing stock is built-to-rent product, Christopher Todd Communities at Country Place and Nexus at Hurley Ranch among them, not resale-listed units. Buyers who need an attached-housing option typically shop across the boundary into Avondale or Goodyear, both a short drive away.
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate 12-Month Price Trend… Condos
Chart reflects Maricopa County condo trend; Tolleson condo sale counts are too low for a statistically valid monthly median.
Maricopa County condo median sale price, rolling 12 months ending August 2026, shown here because Tolleson’s own condo closing count is too thin to chart reliably. County-wide condo pricing softened from a $284,000 winter peak to $276,000 by August.
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate by zip code
Tolleson homes for sale by price band
Tolleson homes for sale split into three clear bands this month: resale Country Place inventory under $350,000, mainstream resale and Caballo Crossing homes from $350,000 to $430,000, and new-build Tolleson homes for sale in Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch running $430,000 and up.
Tolleson runs on a single zip code, 85353, which also reaches into pieces of Phoenix and Avondale beyond Tolleson’s actual city limits. This report is anchored to the verified city boundary, not the raw zip footprint, because a zip-wide pull would blend in homes that are not legally inside Tolleson.
- 85353 (Tolleson core): $415,000 median, down 3.5 percent year over year. Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch anchor new-build activity on the north and west edges. Country Place sub-villages (Avalon, Belmonte, Cottages, Bennett) hold the older resale stock and are where buyers are finding the sharpest price cuts right now.
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate neighborhoods and subdivisions
Tolleson packs real housing diversity into six square miles. Builder-driven master subdivisions dominate the north and west edges; the historic core sits south of Van Buren and east of 91st Avenue. Every one of these Tolleson homes for sale carries a verified address inside Tolleson 85353, confirmed against builder or HOA documentation.
Verde Trails
Up to 738 homesites across a 310-acre master plan, built 2022 to 2026 by Lennar, Meritage, Ashton Woods, Centex, and now Richmond American. The newest inventory in the city, with parks and quick I-10 access for anyone commuting to a distribution job.
Hurley Ranch
Meritage community near 91st Avenue and Illini Street. Larger lots than Verde Trails, paired with the Nexus at Hurley Ranch rental community next door for anyone not ready to buy yet.
Caballo Crossing
Mattamy Homes resale community built 2015 to 2017. Landscaping has matured, HOA dues stay modest, and floor plans range from compact starters to mid-size four-bedrooms.
Avalon at Country Place
Inside the larger Country Place master plan at 99th Avenue and Lower Buckeye. Built 2005 to 2006, 1,665 to 2,500 square feet, with the master amenity package and one of the sharpest price cuts in the city right now.
Belmonte at Country Place
The most affordable entry point in Country Place, built 2004 to 2005 at 1,245 to 1,965 square feet. First-time buyers priced out of Avondale routinely land here.
Cottages at Country Place
Ranch and two-story plans up to 2,700 square feet inside the Country Place master plan, with walking trails and quick access to Westgate Entertainment District.
Bennett at Country Place
A newer Country Place phase anchored on the master trail system. Commute-conscious buyers heading to State Farm Stadium or Westgate value the location.
Lion’s Gate
Gated Meritage community near the I-10 and Loop 101 junction. The gating premium and short drive to Banner Estrella Medical Center keep resale demand steady even as the broader city softens.
83rd Ave & Broadway
A small infill subdivision built 2023 to 2024, 1,439 to 2,373 square feet, priced a tier below Verde Trails for a nearly identical location.
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate… Neighboring Cities
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate sits inside Maricopa County, in the West Valley industrial corridor. Most Tolleson buyers also shop the surrounding West Valley cities for more inventory or a different price tier.
Explore All of Maricopa County Real Estate
Tolleson realty sits inside Maricopa County, one of 25 cities and towns in Arizona’s largest county and the fourth largest in the nation.
▶Maricopa County Real Estate Guide◀Tolleson Arizona Real Estate schools and school districts
Tolleson realty buyers researching schools should start here. Per the official Arizona Department of Education FY25 A-F Letter Grades release, Tolleson Elementary District carries a B district letter grade and Tolleson Union High School District carries a B district letter grade. Both districts serve Tolleson buyers, with Tolleson Elementary running four campuses and Tolleson Union High School District running seven across a broader West Valley footprint.
Tolleson Elementary District… B district letter grade
Arizona Desert Elementary is the standout, an A campus with 81.60 total points earned per the ADE FY25 file, noticeably ahead of the district’s other three schools. Porfirio H. Gonzales Elementary follows with a B grade and 76.79 points. The spread between the A-rated and C-rated campuses in this district is real, so buyers prioritizing schools need to verify assignment by exact address.
Tolleson Union High School District… B district letter grade
The comprehensive high school physically inside Tolleson is Tolleson Union High School itself, a B campus at 69.96 points with a perfect 10.00 graduation rate score. University High School, a magnet campus also inside Tolleson, is the district standout at an A grade and 89.07 points.
Arizona Desert Elementary School
81.60 total points earned per ADE FY25, the highest score in the district. 8803 W Van Buren Street, Tolleson, AZ 85353.
ADE FY25: A81.60 pointsPorfirio H. Gonzales Elementary School
76.79 total points earned per ADE FY25, one of the district’s largest enrollments. 9401 W Garfield Street, Tolleson, AZ 85353.
ADE FY25: B76.79 pointsUniversity High School
89.07 total points earned and a perfect 10.00 graduation rate score per ADE FY25, the top-performing high school in the district. 9419 W Van Buren Street, Tolleson, AZ 85353.
ADE FY25: A89.07 pointsTolleson Union High School
69.96 total points earned with a perfect 10.00 graduation rate score per ADE FY25. 9419 W Van Buren Street, Tolleson, AZ 85353.
ADE FY25: B69.96 pointsSource note: Every grade above reflects the official Arizona Department of Education FY25 A-F release, the current state-issued data. Third-party aggregators are secondary references only and never override an official ADE grade.
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate… safety and crime
Tolleson carries a B- overall safety grade and sits in the 60th percentile nationally for total crime, meaning it runs safer than the average American city. The northwest part of the city consistently scores as the safest sub-area, while the heaviest crime concentration tracks the industrial corridor along the north edge where non-resident warehouse and retail traffic runs highest.
Law Enforcement Jurisdiction in Tolleson
Tolleson is an incorporated city with single-agency policing. The Tolleson Police Department, headquartered at 8350 W Van Buren Street, Tolleson, AZ 85353, staffs roughly 38 sworn officers, about 5.6 per 1,000 residents, well above both the state and national averages. The Arizona Department of Public Safety covers Interstate 10 and Loop 202 South Mountain Freeway where they border the city. Maricopa County Sheriff’s Office does not hold primary jurisdiction here the way it does in unincorporated communities elsewhere in the county.
Tolleson safety snapshot
The strongest subdivision-level standout is the Estrella-Tolleson area, capturing parts of Country Place and Verde Trails, which posts a 95th percentile safety ranking well above the citywide read. Hurley Ranch and Caballo Crossing benefit from active HOA presence and lower transient traffic than the older core.
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate… major employers and commute
Tolleson realty demand traces directly back to this employer base. Tolleson holds more than 20 Fortune 500 companies inside a six-square-mile footprint, employing 20,000-plus workers against roughly 7,600 residents. Interstate 10, Loop 101, Loop 202, and the Union Pacific Railroad mainline all converge here, which is the actual reason the jobs base exists.
Tolleson new construction sits closest to this employer cluster, which is exactly why Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch keep selling despite the citywide slowdown.
Tolleson new construction buyers who work one of these distribution jobs can live inside Tolleson and reach work in under 10 minutes, a commute that does not exist for the same job in most of the Valley. Sellers should lead with this fact on every listing; it is the single strongest argument in the market right now.
Upcoming events in Tolleson: September through early December 2026
The Tolleson real estate market shows why these dates matter: event weekends shift buyer traffic. Fall event season pulls tens of thousands of visitors into the West Valley corridor around Tolleson, which lifts short-term visibility for anyone touring homes over a game or race weekend.
- Sep 20, 2026 … Arizona Cardinals home opener vs. Seattle Seahawks, State Farm Stadium, Glendale. Details
- Oct 1 to Nov 1, 2026 … Arizona State Fair (Thursdays through Sundays), Arizona State Fairgrounds, Phoenix. Details
- Oct 11, 2026 … Arizona Cardinals vs. Detroit Lions, State Farm Stadium, Glendale. Details
- Oct 18, 2026 … NASCAR Cup Series playoff race, the Freeway Insurance 500, Phoenix Raceway, Avondale. Details
- Oct 25, 2026 … Arizona Cardinals vs. Denver Broncos, State Farm Stadium, Glendale. Details
Event weekends like these are when relocating buyers from out of state schedule their in-person tours, since a Cardinals or NASCAR weekend is often the only trip they can build around work.
Tolleson Arizona Real Estate… what residents say
Residents who searched for Tolleson homes for sale before buying describe similar themes: commute, schools, and a close-knit feel.
“Tolleson Arizona Real Estate is small but in the middle of it all. I can get to my warehouse job in 8 minutes and to Westgate in 15. After living in Phoenix, the close-knit feel here is what kept us.”
“We moved from California and the price-to-commute math was the reason. We bought new construction and both of us drive less than 15 minutes to work.”
“The school district has invested heavily. University High School is genuinely excellent, and our elementary school carries an A grade from the state.”
“This town has the highest jobs-to-residents ratio I’ve ever seen. The downside is truck traffic on Van Buren, but south of Buckeye Road you barely notice it.”
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Why Tolleson Arizona Real Estate matters in 2026
This market does not win on appreciation curves. It wins on structural employment density that does not depend on outside relocation trends the way speculative West Valley markets do.
- Active Tolleson new construction: Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch keep new inventory flowing at every price band.
- Fortune 500 employer density: over 20 Fortune 500 companies inside six square miles, anchored by Albertsons, Fry’s, Walmart, Target, Sysco, US Foods, and McLane.
- Nearly 3-to-1 jobs-to-residents ratio: one of the highest in the country, meaning daily worker demand vastly exceeds the resident base.
- Triple-freeway access: I-10, Loop 101, and Loop 202 South Mountain all converge here, with Sky Harbor 22 minutes away.
- Union Pacific rail corridor: a multi-decade industrial distribution hub feeding California-bound freight.
- Active new construction: Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch keep new inventory flowing at every price band.
- Single-agency policing: Tolleson PD runs 5.6 officers per 1,000 residents, above both state and national averages.
- B district letter grades: both Tolleson Elementary District and Tolleson Union High School District, with two A-rated standout campuses.
- Real price-to-jobs value: a sub-$420,000 median in a city where a Fortune 500 job sits inside a 10-minute drive.
The Tolleson real estate market reflects that trend every month. Industrial distribution does not chase tax incentives the way office or tech does, and the freeway-plus-rail-plus-airport combination here is not replaceable elsewhere in the metro. Every look at the Tolleson real estate market should lead with jobs density for that reason. That is structural, long-term demand, not speculative appreciation, and it is the reason Tolleson’s market keeps functioning even while the August numbers cool.
September 2026… buyer and seller takeaways
The Tolleson real estate market sits squarely in the buyer-favorable window described above.
- Buyers: Tolleson homes for sale under $400,000 are moving fastest right now. With 174 active listings and 7.4 months of supply, this is the most buyer-favorable window Tolleson has offered all year. Negotiate; sellers priced off spring comps are already discounting.
- Sellers: Price to the $415,000 August median, not the $430,000 February peak. Listings sitting past 60 days are already taking meaningful reductions across the city.
- New construction buyers: Tolleson new construction reps in Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch work for the builder, not for you. Bring your own representation before you sign anything.
- Investors: Tolleson realty rental demand tied to Fortune 500 distribution jobs stays steady even as resale pricing softens.
- Schools-driven buyers: Verify school boundary by exact address. Tolleson Union HSD attendance lines cross into Avondale and Glendale.
- Relocating workers: If your employer sits inside Tolleson, buying in Verde Trails or Hurley Ranch removes I-10 traffic from your daily life entirely.
Frequently asked questions
The single-family median sale price closed at $415,000 in August 2026, the most recent complete month of closed data. That is down from $420,000 in July and reflects a real cooling trend building since spring. List-side medians run closer to $422,000 on 174 active properties.
Tolleson is buyer-favorable. Months of supply is running near 7.4, days on market has stretched to 63, and sale-to-list sits at 97.0 percent. A seller who prices off last spring’s numbers will sit on the market and get punished by a buyer pool that has options.
Three-bedroom homes in Tolleson list between roughly $330,000 and $410,000, with most activity clustering near $375,000. Country Place sub-village resales anchor the low end; newer Verde Trails three-bedroom plans push toward the top of that band.
Four-bedroom homes in Tolleson list between roughly $375,000 and $530,000, with the middle of the band near $440,000. The top end is dominated by 2,500-plus square foot builds in Verde Trails, Hurley Ranch, and Lion’s Gate.
No meaningful for-sale condo inventory exists in Tolleson. The city’s attached housing is built-to-rent product, Christopher Todd Communities at Country Place and Nexus at Hurley Ranch among them. Buyers who need a condo typically look across the boundary into Avondale or Goodyear.
A dedicated full-time agent who specializes in Tolleson hears about pricing changes, coming-soon listings, and builder incentives directly from other agents and from the builders themselves, before the national search portals ever list them. That local relationship is the entire value of working with someone who covers this specific zip code every week instead of the whole Valley.
Correctly priced homes under $400,000 still draw competing offers in Tolleson, especially move-in-ready three-bedroom homes near the schools. Overpriced listings sit for 63 days on average and eventually take a price cut. The multiple-offer frenzy of 2021 is gone; preparation now beats speed.
Tolleson runs the highest jobs-to-residents ratio in Arizona. More than 20 Fortune 500 companies employ over 20,000 people daily inside a six-square-mile footprint holding roughly 7,600 residents. That structural employment base, not appreciation speculation, is what keeps this market’s demand resilient when the broader West Valley softens.
Tolleson runs structurally below Avondale and Goodyear. Tolleson’s $415,000 August median compares to Avondale near $470,000 and Goodyear near $505,000 on closed-sale data. Buyers trading square footage for a shorter commute to the city’s distribution employers find real value in that gap.
Nearly half of licensed agents in Arizona closed zero transactions last year. Ask any agent how many homes they closed in Tolleson specifically over the last 12 months. If they cannot answer in one sentence, that tells you whether they actually work this zip code or just hold a license that covers it.
Tolleson Elementary District carries a B district letter grade for K-8 and Tolleson Union High School District carries a B district letter grade for 9-12, both per the official Arizona Department of Education FY25 A-F release. Arizona Desert Elementary (A, 81.60 points) and University High School (A, 89.07 points) are the standout campuses.
Tolleson carries a B- overall safety grade and sits in the 60th percentile nationally for total crime, safer than the average American city. The northwest portion of the city consistently scores as the safest, while the industrial corridor along the north edge runs the heaviest non-resident traffic.
Yes. Verde Trails and Hurley Ranch are the two active builder programs inside city limits, with Lennar, Meritage, Ashton Woods, Centex, and Richmond American all building or closing out phases. New-build pricing runs from the mid $300,000s into the high $500,000s, with rate buydowns and price cuts both active this month.
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Tolleson real estate market resources
Tolleson business and commercial real estate
Tolleson runs one of the most active industrial commercial corridors in Arizona on a per-square-foot basis. Distribution and warehouse demand from Albertsons, Fry’s, Walmart, Target, Sysco, and US Foods has kept industrial lease rates firm even as retail and office markets elsewhere in the Valley soften.
Office Lease Rates $22 to $28 → Annual NNN range | Retail Lease Rates $18 to $26 → Annual NNN range | Industrial Lease $0.85 to $1.20 → Per SF/month NNN | Cap Rates Trading 5.5% to 7.0% → Recent sales |
Active Listings 40+ ▲ Lease + sale | Total Inventory 12M+ SF → Mostly industrial | For Sale Range $1.2M to $30M+ → Mixed | Anchor Asset UPRR Corridor → Multi-tenant industrial |
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Coverage area: Tolleson realty across zip code 85353 inside the City of Tolleson, Maricopa County.
Data sources: Monthly counts of Tolleson homes for sale, closed-sale, and active-listing figures are compiled from local closed-sale records and verified across multiple area data sources before publication. Public records, builder sales centers, and city planning documents support new construction figures and address verification. School ratings come from the official Arizona Department of Education FY25 A-F Letter Grades release; third-party aggregators are secondary only. Crime data comes from CrimeGrade, AreaVibes, and FBI Uniform Crime Reports.
Data month vs. report month: this September 2026 report runs on August 2026 closed-sale data, the most recent complete monthly cut available at publication. Tolleson’s monthly closing count runs well under 30 transactions, so month-to-month medians carry more natural swing than a larger city’s numbers; treat any single month as a data point inside a trend, not a final answer.
Author: Compiled by Arizona Homes and Condos Realty. We intentionally do not list properties on this site… Arizona’s market changes too fast for static listing pages to remain accurate. A dedicated full-time agent researches both on-market and off-market opportunities the moment you reach out, because many of the best properties never reach the national websites at all.
Last Updated: September 2026.